Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -450 MSST +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +12 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -8.1 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -6.6 (+5.4) | 137.3 (-13.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -7.8 (+4.2) | 135.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -6.9 (+5.1) | 139.0 (-15.0) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -6.7 (+5.3) | 138.8 (-14.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | TENN 73 – 64 MSST |
| Mar 15, 2024 | MSST 73 – 56 TENN |
| Jan 11, 2024 | MSST 77 – 72 TENN |
| Jan 18, 2023 | TENN 70 – 59 MSST |
| Jan 4, 2023 | TENN 87 – 53 MSST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#6) | 16.9 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.01 (#4) | 3.68 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.42 (#3) | 4.52 (#8) |
| RPI | 0.659 (#6) | 0.642 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 38.6 | 39.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 13.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 39.8% | 36.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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