Betting Lines
| Spread | TTU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TTU +31 | 113 | Won |
| Massey | TTU -6.6 (+24.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-10.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TTU -7.7 (+23.3) | 125.8 (-12.8) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TTU -5.6 (+25.4) | 128.1 (-15.1) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TTU -6.3 (+24.7) | 129.0 (-16.0) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TTU -4.8 (+26.2) | 127.4 (-14.4) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | ISU 75 – 53 TTU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | TTU 82 – 73 ISU |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ISU 85 – 84 TTU |
| Feb 17, 2024 | ISU 82 – 74 TTU |
| Jan 31, 2023 | TTU 80 – 77 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 14-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 62.5 |
| Massey | 17.1 (#14) | 10.6 (#44) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#14) | 2.28 (#33) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.85 (#10) | 2.74 (#34) |
| RPI | 0.587 (#40) | 0.538 (#103) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TTU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.4% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 24.6% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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