Betting Lines
| Spread | USC -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | USC -275 WASH +235 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USC +4 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | USC -7.8 (-3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-15.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USC -7.4 (-3.4) | 145.2 (-19.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USC -6.2 (-2.2) | 144.5 (-18.5) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USC -5.6 (-1.6) | 144.9 (-18.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USC -5.6 (-1.6) | 145.5 (-19.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | WASH 83 – 79 USC |
| Mar 5, 2026 | WASH 91 – 72 USC |
| Dec 6, 2025 | WASH 84 – 76 USC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | USC 92 – 61 WASH |
| Dec 7, 2024 | USC 85 – 61 WASH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 11-9 |
| Home | 13-3 | 11-6 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 72.3 |
| Massey | 11.1 (#35) | 3.2 (#116) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.67 (#20) | 1.11 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.97 (#27) | 1.26 (#96) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#42) | 0.539 (#100) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USC | WASH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 64.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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