Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +18 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | DAV -9.9 (+8.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -11.0 (+7.0) | 133.4 (-3.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -9.9 (+8.1) | 134.6 (-4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -9.0 (+9.0) | 135.5 (-5.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -9.6 (+8.4) | 135.3 (-5.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | FOR 63 – 59 DAV |
| Jan 22, 2026 | DAV 68 – 63 FOR |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DAV 80 – 69 FOR |
| Jan 11, 2025 | DAV 74 – 64 FOR |
| Mar 12, 2024 | FOR 71 – 63 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 9.4 (#55) | -0.5 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.26 (#35) | 0.06 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#41) | 0.15 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#25) | 0.500 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | FOR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.9% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 77.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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