Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +1 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -7.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -6.4 (-5.4) | 146.0 (-15.0) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -7.5 (-6.5) | 150.9 (-19.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -7.2 (-6.2) | 152.1 (-21.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -6.9 (-5.9) | 147.9 (-16.9) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SJU 89 – 57 VILL |
| Jan 18, 2026 | SJU 86 – 79 VILL |
| Feb 12, 2025 | VILL 73 – 71 SJU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SJU 80 – 68 VILL |
| Jan 25, 2024 | SJU 70 – 50 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 8-11 |
| Home | 12-1 | 13-6 |
| Away | 8-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 17.5 (#11) | 9.9 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#7) | 1.57 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#8) | 2.28 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#6) | 0.524 (#128) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.