Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -170 MSU +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MSU +6 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | WIS -0.3 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-4.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -1.0 (-7.0) | 134.9 (-2.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -1.1 (-7.1) | 138.5 (-6.5) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -0.9 (-6.9) | 137.5 (-5.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -0.9 (-6.9) | 136.4 (-4.4) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | WIS 92 – 71 MSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | WIS 77 – 74 MSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MSU 71 – 62 WIS |
| Jan 27, 2024 | WIS 81 – 66 MSU |
| Dec 6, 2023 | WIS 70 – 57 MSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 9-2 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 72.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.0 |
| Massey | 11.4 (#31) | 11.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#9) | 2.33 (#31) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#14) | 2.82 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.619 (#14) | 0.593 (#31) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 38.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 12.8% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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