Betting Lines
| Spread | UAB -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UAB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UAB +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | UAB -7.3 (+6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UAB -6.3 (+7.7) | 138.5 (+7.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UAB -6.1 (+7.9) | 143.1 (+2.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UAB -5.9 (+8.1) | 142.8 (+3.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UAB -6.2 (+7.8) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 8, 2026 | FAU 76 – 71 UAB |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UAB 89 – 80 FAU |
| Jan 12, 2025 | UAB 81 – 76 FAU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | UAB 76 – 73 FAU |
| Jan 14, 2024 | FAU 86 – 73 UAB |
Game Analysis
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