Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
| Money | TXSO -260 GRAM +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +19 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -7.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.4 (-6.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -6.5 (+12.5) | 135.3 (-8.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -6.1 (+12.9) | 135.1 (-8.1) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -5.9 (+13.1) | 132.2 (-5.2) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -6.0 (+13.0) | 135.5 (-8.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | TXSO 82 – 79 GRAM |
| Jan 6, 2026 | GRAM 84 – 67 TXSO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | TXSO 67 – 60 GRAM |
| Jan 7, 2025 | TXSO 71 – 66 GRAM |
| Mar 17, 2024 | GRAM 75 – 66 TXSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -1.8 (#202) | -9.1 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#219) | -1.61 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#220) | -2.01 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#188) | 0.450 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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