Betting Lines
| Spread | CSU -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CSU -175 USU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSU +2 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | CSU -0.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (-39.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CSU -0.5 (+1.5) | 135.5 (-31.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CSU -0.9 (+1.1) | 140.3 (-36.3) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CSU -0.7 (+1.3) | 139.3 (-35.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CSU -0.8 (+1.2) | 137.9 (-33.9) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | USU 65 – 61 CSU |
| Dec 20, 2025 | USU 100 – 58 CSU |
| Mar 15, 2025 | CSU 83 – 72 USU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | CSU 93 – 66 USU |
| Feb 12, 2025 | USU 93 – 85 CSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-6 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 6-3 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 10.7 (#42) | 9.9 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#13) | 1.23 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.17 (#21) | 1.82 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#16) | 0.555 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSU | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.4% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 25.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 75.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.6% | 20.8% |
Game Analysis
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