Hawai'i
Rainbow Warriors
68
–
67
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
UC Riverside
Highlanders
Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HAW +1 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -0.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+8.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -0.7 (+0.3) | 129.5 (+5.5) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -0.3 (+1.3) | 132.3 (+2.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -0.3 (+1.3) | 132.3 (+2.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -0.2 (+0.8) | 131.8 (+3.2) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | HAW 93 – 74 UCR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | HAW 88 – 45 UCR |
| Feb 28, 2025 | UCR 82 – 76 HAW |
| Jan 10, 2025 | HAW 83 – 76 UCR |
| Mar 3, 2024 | HAW 76 – 73 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAW | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 16-12 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Home | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.0 | 65.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.5 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#155) | -0.0 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.07 (#187) | 0.12 (#161) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#178) | -0.10 (#188) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#185) | 0.522 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAW | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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