Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +5 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | AUB -9.0 (-14.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (-14.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -6.2 (-11.2) | 144.2 (-15.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -6.8 (-11.8) | 142.4 (-13.4) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -7.6 (-12.6) | 143.9 (-14.9) | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -7.0 (-12.0) | 142.3 (-13.3) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TA&M 90 – 88 AUB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | TA&M 83 – 72 AUB |
| Jan 10, 2024 | AUB 66 – 55 TA&M |
| Feb 8, 2023 | TA&M 83 – 78 AUB |
| Jan 26, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 63 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 27-13 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-0 | 16-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#7) | 9.3 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#5) | 1.84 (#48) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.37 (#3) | 2.20 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#2) | 0.557 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | TA&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 39.8 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 34.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 24.4% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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