Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -5.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +10 | 114 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -3.2 (+6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.0 (-24.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -2.6 (+7.4) | 137.5 (-23.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -2.3 (+7.7) | 138.0 (-24.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -2.1 (+7.9) | 134.3 (-20.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -2.2 (+7.8) | 136.8 (-22.8) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-6 | 11-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.3 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#17) | 11.8 (#26) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#17) | 2.51 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.42 (#16) | 3.03 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.595 (#29) | 0.587 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 38.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 45.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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