I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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31–11 on winners spread MAE 6.7 42 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
TCU @ Kansas +10.2 144.6 84% 62–75 ✓
Miami @ Duke +7.1 152.7 74% 76–80 ✓
Tulsa @ SMU +8.2 139.2 81% 58–83 ✓
Ohio @ Kent State -1.5 139.1 45% 61–67 ✗
Weber State @ Montana State +2.6 146.1 64% 66–69 ✓
Coppin State @ North Carolina Central +2.0 137.5 54% 79–73 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Kentucky +8.3 142.8 77% 71–77 ✓
LSU New Orleans @ SE Louisiana -0.9 155.4 46% 65–74 ✗
Quinnipiac @ Saint Peter's +5.7 134.6 76% 52–64 ✓
Richmond @ VCU +3.3 131.6 64% 75–64 ✗
Colorado @ Arizona +9.5 151.6 81% 72–82 ✓
UConn @ Villanova +2.4 130.3 62% 60–63 ✓
Penn State @ Purdue +8.7 133.4 81% 61–69 ✓
UCF @ Memphis +6.0 140.8 74% 69–85 ✓
UC Santa Barbara @ Long Beach State -1.8 145.6 42% 64–67 ✗
Grand Canyon @ New Mexico State +0.7 131.0 50% 70–75 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech +6.0 126.2 67% 55–56 ✓
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina +0.2 142.1 50% 72–59 ✗
Wyoming @ Boise State +1.8 130.6 58% 61–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Alcorn State +4.2 130.0 67% 64–69 ✓
Portland State @ Northern Colorado +1.8 150.8 60% 79–86 ✓
USC @ UCLA +6.6 142.7 72% 59–69 ✓
Hawai'i @ Cal State Fullerton -0.5 132.5 47% 46–58 ✗
Abilene Christian @ Seattle U -1.0 140.2 40% 78–76 ✓
San Diego State @ Colorado State -0.6 123.3 42% 63–58 ✓
UMBC @ Vermont +13.2 146.7 88% 43–82 ✓
Cornell @ Princeton +5.9 152.7 73% 73–77 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +2.9 141.3 58% 82–64 ✗
Indiana @ Iowa +4.7 147.9 70% 77–80 ✓
Coppin State @ Norfolk State +7.9 137.3 81% 57–72 ✓
Saint Louis @ Davidson +0.3 138.9 54% 69–84 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Yale +2.9 147.6 64% 61–67 ✓
Kentucky @ Tennessee -1.2 137.6 48% 62–69 ✗
Tulane @ Houston +11.8 139.2 84% 66–86 ✓
Richmond @ Dayton +3.1 130.9 62% 68–64 ✗
Michigan State @ Purdue +5.4 143.2 68% 70–75 ✓
Monmouth @ Saint Peter's +2.3 128.5 63% 54–60 ✓
Memphis @ SMU -1.8 142.8 41% 70–63 ✓
Texas Tech @ Kansas +4.5 144.1 78% 65–74 ✓
San Diego State @ Boise State -0.3 121.4 49% 52–53 ✗
Texas Southern @ Alcorn State -2.3 136.4 38% 87–62 ✓
Creighton @ Villanova +6.3 127.9 72% 48–54 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.