Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | NCCU -130 COPP +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NCCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COPP +6 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -2.0 (-8.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -0.9 (-6.9) | 139.9 (+12.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -1.7 (-7.7) | 137.3 (+14.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -2.0 (-8.0) | 137.5 (+14.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -1.4 (-7.4) | 139.2 (+12.8) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COPP 58 – 56 NCCU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NCCU 88 – 77 COPP |
| Feb 15, 2025 | NCCU 71 – 59 COPP |
| Jan 4, 2025 | COPP 63 – 61 NCCU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | NCCU 83 – 58 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 8-5 | 6-8 |
| Home | 9-2 | 3-6 |
| Away | 5-11 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#292) | -9.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#261) | -1.78 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.62 (#279) | -2.22 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#209) | 0.448 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NCCU | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 23.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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