Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Boise State Broncos
68 – 61
FINAL Neutral Conference Mountain West
Wyoming Cowboys
Mountain West Conference · Thomas & Mack Center (Neutral) · March 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread BOIS -2.5 Home covered
O/U 128.5 Over
Money BOIS -150 / WYO +130
Model Predictions
Spread Total BOIS win
Actual BOIS +7 129 Won
Massey BOIS -1.8 (+5.2) — —
Massey Totals — 130.3 (-1.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 50% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 53% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ BOIS -3.0 (+4.0) 130.0 (-1.0) 66% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML BOIS -1.6 (+5.4) 132.6 (-3.6) 57% ✓
Baseline ML BOIS -1.8 (+5.2) 130.6 (-1.6) 58% ✓
Baseline Plus ML BOIS -2.0 (+5.0) 131.5 (-2.5) 59% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 BOIS 72 – 62 WYO
Jan 21, 2026 BOIS 81 – 65 WYO
Jan 15, 2025 BOIS 96 – 55 WYO
Jan 1, 2025 BOIS 67 – 58 WYO
Feb 25, 2024 BOIS 92 – 72 WYO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BOIS WYO
Overall 27-8 25-9
Conference 15-3 13-5
Home 13-3 14-1
Away 9-3 8-5
Neutral 5-2 3-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 67.7 71.5
Avg Pts Against 61.0 65.7
Massey 11.0 (#37) 9.2 (#60)
Bradley-Terry 2.43 (#26) 2.42 (#29)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.77 (#32) 2.67 (#36)
RPI 0.589 (#31) 0.599 (#26)
Shooting & Four Factors BOIS WYO
FG% 44.6% 45.6%
3PT% 34.4% 33.1%
REB / G 34.7 35.9
OREB / G 10.4 8.3
AST / TO 0.94 0.98
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.3% 52.5%
TOV% 18.4% 16.5%
ORB% 31.0% 25.6%
FT Rate 22.5% 27.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 47.0%
Opp TOV% 20.0% 15.6%
DRB% 78.6% 75.7%
Opp FT Rate 19.0% 17.4%

Game Analysis

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