Betting Lines
| Spread | KU -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | KU -330 TCU +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KU +13 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | KU -10.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KU -10.5 (+2.5) | 142.3 (-5.3) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KU -10.0 (+3.0) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KU -10.2 (+2.8) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KU -10.0 (+3.0) | 142.4 (-5.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | KU 78 – 73 TCU |
| Jan 7, 2026 | KU 104 – 100 TCU |
| Jan 23, 2025 | KU 74 – 61 TCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | KU 83 – 81 TCU |
| Feb 21, 2023 | KU 63 – 58 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 34-6 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 8-10 |
| Home | 19-1 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-4 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 9-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W11 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 64.9 |
| Massey | 18.5 (#6) | 10.6 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#4) | 2.28 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#3) | 2.80 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#1) | 0.546 (#82) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KU | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 38.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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