Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +6 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -8.0 (-2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.6 (-26.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -6.2 (-0.2) | 129.9 (-27.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -5.9 (+0.1) | 131.2 (-29.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -6.3 (-0.3) | 127.9 (-25.9) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -6.0 (+0.0) | 129.3 (-27.3) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VILL 80 – 69 CREI |
| Jan 8, 2026 | CREI 76 – 72 VILL |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CREI 62 – 60 VILL |
| Dec 21, 2024 | CREI 86 – 79 VILL |
| Mar 9, 2024 | CREI 69 – 67 VILL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 16-4 | 12-7 |
| Home | 12-1 | 11-4 |
| Away | 8-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 10-2 | 6-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 17.3 (#14) | 9.3 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.30 (#6) | 2.53 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.91 (#9) | 3.00 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#5) | 0.573 (#53) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.1% | 14.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.