Betting Lines
| Spread | UK -11.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UK -650 VAN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UK +6 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UK -10.9 (-4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.1 (+7.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UK -8.9 (-2.9) | 142.6 (+5.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UK -8.4 (-2.4) | 143.2 (+4.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UK -8.3 (-2.3) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UK -7.7 (-1.7) | 142.8 (+5.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UK 91 – 77 VAN |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VAN 80 – 55 UK |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UK 82 – 61 VAN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | VAN 74 – 69 UK |
| Mar 7, 2024 | UK 93 – 77 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 19-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 67.8 |
| Massey | 19.9 (#3) | 9.0 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.25 (#8) | 1.36 (#74) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#5) | 1.55 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#7) | 0.548 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.9% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.3 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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