Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | SEA +120 ACU -140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ACU +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ACU -0.8 (-1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ACU -1.7 (-0.3) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ACU -0.7 (-1.3) | 140.5 (+13.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ACU -1.0 (-1.0) | 140.2 (+13.8) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ACU -1.4 (-0.6) | 141.6 (+12.4) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2025 | SEA 69 – 63 ACU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | ACU 75 – 59 SEA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | SEA 66 – 64 ACU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | ACU 64 – 59 SEA |
| Feb 9, 2024 | SEA 75 – 52 ACU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 17-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | 3.4 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.89 (#110) | 0.71 (#119) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#113) | 0.89 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#122) | 0.526 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEA | ACU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 28.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 28.9% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 35.3% |
Game Analysis
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