Cal State Fullerton
Titans
58
–
46
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
Hawai'i
Rainbow Warriors
Betting Lines
| Spread | CSUF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | CSUF -140 HAW +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUF +12 | 104 | Won |
| Massey | HAW -0.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (-27.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HAW -0.3 (+12.3) | 129.7 (-25.7) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HAW -0.4 (+12.4) | 133.9 (-29.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HAW -0.5 (+12.5) | 132.5 (-28.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HAW -0.1 (+12.1) | 132.3 (-28.3) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | HAW 78 – 63 CSUF |
| Mar 1, 2026 | HAW 87 – 85 CSUF |
| Dec 7, 2025 | HAW 69 – 59 CSUF |
| Feb 2, 2025 | HAW 82 – 57 CSUF |
| Jan 11, 2025 | HAW 95 – 86 CSUF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 10-5 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 64.5 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#158) | 0.7 (#155) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.32 (#144) | 0.04 (#170) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#152) | 0.07 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#139) | 0.503 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUF | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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