Hop in my Chrysler, it's as big as a whale and it's about to set sail. "Love Shack" - The B-52's
(2) Tennessee Volunteers
69 – 62
FINAL Neutral Conference SEC
(3) Kentucky Wildcats
Southeastern Conference · Benchmark International Arena (Neutral) · March 12, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread UK -2.0 Home covered
O/U 138.5 Under
Money TENN +130 / UK -150
Model Predictions
Spread Total TENN win
Actual TENN +7 131 Won
Massey UK -1.9 (+8.9) — —
Massey Totals — 139.9 (-8.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 48% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 43% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UK -0.6 (+7.6) 138.0 (-7.0) 53% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML UK -1.3 (+8.3) 139.9 (-8.9) 44% ✗
Baseline ML UK -1.2 (+8.2) 137.6 (-6.6) 48% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UK -1.1 (+8.1) 139.2 (-8.2) 45% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 UK 74 – 71 TENN
Jan 17, 2026 UK 80 – 78 TENN
Mar 28, 2025 TENN 78 – 65 UK
Feb 12, 2025 UK 75 – 64 TENN
Jan 29, 2025 UK 78 – 73 TENN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TENN UK
Overall 27-8 26-8
Conference 14-4 14-4
Home 16-0 18-0
Away 6-5 6-5
Neutral 5-3 2-3
Last 5 5-0 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 73.5 79.4
Avg Pts Against 62.9 66.6
Massey 17.9 (#7) 19.9 (#3)
Bradley-Terry 3.18 (#9) 3.25 (#8)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.82 (#11) 4.11 (#5)
RPI 0.629 (#6) 0.628 (#7)
Shooting & Four Factors TENN UK
FG% 43.1% 48.9%
3PT% 35.5% 35.5%
REB / G 37.0 40.3
OREB / G 12.0 12.9
AST / TO 1.31 1.40
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 53.9%
TOV% 17.9% 16.7%
ORB% 33.1% 38.0%
FT Rate 20.9% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.9% 46.3%
Opp TOV% 23.3% 17.4%
DRB% 72.8% 75.2%
Opp FT Rate 22.1% 17.7%

Game Analysis

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