Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCO -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | UNCO -190 PRST +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCO +7 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | UNCO -3.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCO -2.3 (+4.7) | 149.7 (+15.3) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCO -1.7 (+5.3) | 151.9 (+13.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCO -1.8 (+5.2) | 150.8 (+14.2) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCO -1.6 (+5.4) | 152.6 (+12.4) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCO 77 – 65 PRST |
| Jan 16, 2026 | PRST 76 – 73 UNCO |
| Feb 15, 2025 | PRST 82 – 71 UNCO |
| Jan 17, 2025 | UNCO 72 – 69 PRST |
| Feb 16, 2024 | PRST 82 – 72 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-16 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 8-9 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.1 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.0 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#214) | -5.8 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#179) | -1.05 (#263) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#190) | -0.99 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#119) | 0.446 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCO | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 76.0% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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