Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | PRIN -250 COR +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRIN +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | PRIN -5.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -4.9 (-0.9) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -6.3 (-2.3) | 153.6 (-3.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -5.9 (-1.9) | 152.7 (-2.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -5.4 (-1.4) | 152.8 (-2.8) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | COR 89 – 65 PRIN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | COR 87 – 64 PRIN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | COR 102 – 70 PRIN |
| Jan 25, 2025 | COR 85 – 76 PRIN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | PRIN 79 – 77 COR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 15-11 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 7-7 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#108) | -1.7 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#91) | -0.14 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.13 (#102) | -0.11 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#85) | 0.492 (#194) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | COR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.9% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.2% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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