Betting Lines
| Spread | DAV -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.0 Over |
| Money | DAV -160 SLU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DAV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DAV +15 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -0.1 (+15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.8 (+10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DAV -0.6 (+14.4) | 135.5 (+17.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DAV -0.8 (+14.2) | 140.2 (+12.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DAV -0.3 (+14.7) | 138.9 (+14.1) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DAV -0.9 (+14.1) | 138.3 (+14.7) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 4, 2026 | SLU 91 – 82 DAV |
| Mar 13, 2025 | SLU 83 – 75 DAV |
| Feb 26, 2025 | SLU 57 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 25, 2024 | DAV 84 – 61 SLU |
| Feb 16, 2023 | SLU 78 – 65 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-7 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-1 | 14-5 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 68.3 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#54) | 9.7 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#33) | 1.57 (#64) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.47 (#40) | 1.75 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.600 (#25) | 0.579 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DAV | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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