Betting Lines
| Spread | NORF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NORF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NORF +15 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | NORF -8.9 (+6.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-9.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NORF -7.6 (+7.4) | 139.9 (-10.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NORF -8.9 (+6.1) | 137.5 (-8.5) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NORF -7.9 (+7.1) | 137.3 (-8.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NORF -8.5 (+6.5) | 139.8 (-10.8) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | NORF 75 – 69 COPP |
| Jan 24, 2026 | NORF 103 – 76 COPP |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NORF 79 – 63 COPP |
| Jan 11, 2025 | NORF 92 – 69 COPP |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NORF 75 – 51 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-7 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 6-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 3-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-16 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.6 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#176) | -9.6 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#146) | -1.78 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#155) | -2.22 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#124) | 0.448 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NORF | COPP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 19.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.