Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +1 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -0.9 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -0.0 (+1.0) | 121.3 (-16.3) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -0.2 (+1.2) | 125.4 (-20.4) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -0.3 (+1.3) | 121.4 (-16.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -0.9 (+0.1) | 124.6 (-19.6) | 50% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | BOIS 86 – 77 SDSU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | SDSU 110 – 107 BOIS |
| Mar 13, 2025 | BOIS 62 – 52 SDSU |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SDSU 64 – 47 BOIS |
| Jan 4, 2025 | SDSU 76 – 68 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 13-4 |
| Home | 13-3 | 14-1 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 65.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.0 | 58.1 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#37) | 11.9 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#26) | 2.52 (#24) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#32) | 3.01 (#24) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#31) | 0.608 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | SDSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 43.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.0% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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