Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Over |
| Money | VCU -175 RICH +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICH +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | VCU -3.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.3 (+10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.2 (-13.2) | 129.5 (+9.5) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -3.9 (-14.9) | 130.8 (+8.2) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -3.3 (-14.3) | 131.6 (+7.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -2.4 (-13.4) | 131.6 (+7.4) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 24-13 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-3 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.4 | 68.4 |
| Massey | 9.2 (#59) | 5.9 (#96) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.94 (#44) | 1.11 (#93) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.07 (#58) | 1.33 (#93) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#30) | 0.553 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | RICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.53 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 22.3% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.5% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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