Long Beach State
Beach
67
–
64
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Hercules Tires Big West
UC Santa Barbara
Gauchos
Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSB -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
| Money | LBSU +155 UCSB -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LBSU +3 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | UCSB -2.2 (+5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (-16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSB -3.1 (+6.1) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSB -1.2 (+4.2) | 146.5 (-15.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCSB -1.8 (+4.8) | 145.6 (-14.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSB -1.9 (+4.9) | 145.3 (-14.3) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | UCSB 74 – 71 LBSU |
| Dec 5, 2025 | UCSB 84 – 77 LBSU |
| Feb 23, 2025 | UCSB 58 – 56 LBSU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | UCSB 85 – 54 LBSU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UCSB 76 – 74 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 17-11 |
| Conference | 12-3 | 8-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 71.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#161) | 2.6 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#127) | -0.04 (#183) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#125) | 0.14 (#165) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#71) | 0.479 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCSB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 48.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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