Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -300 QUIN +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SPU +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | SPU -6.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -5.4 (+6.6) | 133.9 (-17.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -5.9 (+6.1) | 134.6 (-18.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -5.7 (+6.3) | 134.6 (-18.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -5.6 (+6.4) | 134.8 (-18.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 15, 2026 | SPU 74 – 70 QUIN |
| Mar 1, 2025 | QUIN 69 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 4, 2025 | QUIN 59 – 46 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 62 – 60 QUIN |
| Mar 9, 2024 | QUIN 89 – 74 SPU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 7-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.4 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#135) | -4.0 (#240) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#143) | -0.69 (#233) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | -0.89 (#237) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#86) | 0.446 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | QUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.9% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.1% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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