Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | SELA -130 NOLA +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | NOLA -1.8 (+10.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.6 (-18.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NOLA -1.0 (+10.0) | 157.1 (-18.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NOLA -1.1 (+10.1) | 156.1 (-17.1) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NOLA -0.9 (+9.9) | 155.4 (-16.4) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NOLA -1.2 (+10.2) | 159.6 (-20.6) | 48% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | SELA 82 – 78 NOLA |
| Jan 13, 2026 | NOLA 79 – 76 SELA |
| Feb 1, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 NOLA |
| Jan 11, 2025 | SELA 91 – 71 NOLA |
| Mar 10, 2024 | NOLA 78 – 66 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 10-1 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 76.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 76.7 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#279) | -5.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#237) | -0.91 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#256) | -1.06 (#253) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#149) | 0.478 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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