Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -240 AMCC +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +7 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -3.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -3.8 (-10.8) | 146.8 (-11.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -2.8 (-9.8) | 146.5 (-11.5) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -2.5 (-9.5) | 147.0 (-12.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -2.0 (-9.0) | 148.1 (-13.1) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | AMCC 83 – 76 NICH |
| Dec 30, 2025 | NICH 76 – 71 AMCC |
| Feb 25, 2025 | NICH 71 – 69 AMCC |
| Jan 25, 2025 | AMCC 61 – 57 NICH |
| Mar 13, 2024 | NICH 81 – 73 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-3 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#194) | -4.9 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#202) | -1.00 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#210) | -1.24 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.527 (#122) | 0.446 (#279) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 13.5% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 31.6% |
Game Analysis
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