This dance ain't for everybody. Only the sexy people. "Push It" - Salt-n-Pepa
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–15 on winners spread MAE 9.1 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Saint Mary's @ UNLV -3.0 132.6 39% 69–67 ✓
Charlotte @ Richmond +6.7 133.7 73% 56–64 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Marshall -0.5 155.6 48% 65–72 ✗
Southern Illinois @ Wichita State +3.2 143.7 61% 68–69 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Iona -7.7 137.1 24% 83–58 ✓
Dayton @ Cincinnati +5.5 145.3 69% 82–68 ✗
Bethune-Cookman @ Purdue Fort Wayne +18.7 156.4 96% 63–86 ✓
California @ Ole Miss +4.4 143.8 65% 78–88 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Texas Tech +14.4 139.2 90% 54–76 ✓
Winthrop @ Xavier +11.2 151.6 85% 59–75 ✓
Alabama @ Creighton +5.1 169.8 68% 82–85 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Saint Louis -8.4 140.0 22% 74–75 ✗
California Baptist @ UC Riverside -2.0 129.8 43% 70–69 ✓
Chattanooga @ Alabama A&M -7.1 157.7 26% 88–72 ✓
SMU @ Florida State +1.8 141.9 56% 68–57 ✗
Green Bay @ Oklahoma +20.9 134.3 97% 47–81 ✓
Georgia State @ BYU +28.0 147.2 99% 54–86 ✓
Weber State @ Wyoming +0.8 127.0 53% 84–71 ✗
North Dakota @ Utah Tech +12.1 143.6 86% 79–62 ✗
Portland @ Grand Canyon +13.0 157.1 88% 63–91 ✓
Texas Southern @ North Carolina A&T -9.5 143.6 19% 79–85 ✗
NC State @ Tennessee +7.4 145.7 75% 70–79 ✓
Arizona State @ TCU +6.8 151.4 73% 59–79 ✓
South Dakota @ UC Irvine +17.6 146.1 94% 78–121 ✓
Jackson State @ Howard +4.1 161.6 65% 81–74 ✗
Colgate @ Illinois +16.7 137.4 94% 57–74 ✓
Syracuse @ Oregon +5.3 152.3 68% 83–63 ✗
Stony Brook @ Army -1.8 127.1 43% 78–74 ✓
USC @ Auburn +13.6 153.6 89% 75–91 ✓
Alcorn State @ Northern Iowa +19.6 159.9 96% 82–100 ✓
Stetson @ Omaha +3.5 139.7 63% 80–88 ✓
Pepperdine @ Louisville -0.3 146.8 49% 63–85 ✗
Wagner @ Fairfield +10.2 133.0 82% 51–63 ✓
VMI @ Longwood +20.3 139.6 97% 49–68 ✓
UTSA @ Oregon State +9.4 157.5 80% 65–66 ✓
Nebraska @ Kansas State +4.8 156.0 67% 62–46 ✗
UTEP @ Abilene Christian +5.9 136.6 70% 82–88 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Boise State +13.4 129.8 89% 65–88 ✓
North Texas @ Mississippi State +4.2 124.3 65% 54–72 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Eastern Kentucky +0.4 142.1 51% 85–75 ✗
North Dakota State @ Illinois State +4.3 133.6 65% 65–75 ✓
Louisiana @ McNeese +13.2 139.4 88% 72–74 ✓
Montana @ San José State +6.2 135.6 71% 86–75 ✗
Oral Roberts @ Oklahoma State +7.2 145.7 74% 60–81 ✓
Seton Hall @ Missouri +0.5 135.3 52% 93–87 ✗
Idaho @ Stanford +10.4 147.8 83% 64–82 ✓
Howard @ Texas Southern -4.6 144.0 34% 78–79 ✗
Florida A&M @ Iowa State +37.9 137.0 100% 58–96 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.