← All models
Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–0 on winners
spread MAE 5.9
6 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
-1.5 | 152.0 | 44% | 100–99 | ✓ |
|
|
+9.9 | 162.1 | 81% | 60–68 | ✓ |
|
|
-1.3 | 144.8 | 45% | 72–66 | ✓ |
|
|
+5.5 | 143.0 | 69% | 65–75 | ✓ |
|
|
+12.8 | 154.6 | 88% | 75–79 | ✓ |
|
|
+17.8 | 155.2 | 95% | 81–84 | ✓ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.