Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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38–21 on winners spread MAE 9.4 59 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Miami @ Georgetown -4.5 149.7 32% 78–65 ✓
Wichita State @ Western Kentucky -2.1 145.4 41% 70–75 ✗
Stanford @ Saint Louis +7.2 154.3 70% 78–77 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Clemson +24.3 139.0 91% 56–92 ✓
Georgia Tech @ DePaul +0.9 138.8 55% 61–75 ✓
SMU @ Mississippi State -4.3 157.3 41% 87–81 ✓
Ohio State @ Pittsburgh -1.6 140.6 46% 66–67 ✗
Colgate @ UAlbany -5.7 138.5 33% 69–67 ✓
Jackson State @ Louisiana +7.1 136.1 84% 51–45 ✗
Sam Houston @ Idaho +0.5 147.3 61% 94–68 ✗
BYU @ Dayton -7.8 146.8 22% 83–79 ✓
Minnesota @ Santa Clara +9.5 132.5 84% 75–86 ✓
LSU @ Drake -8.0 151.1 35% 71–62 ✓
Stony Brook @ Loyola Marymount +11.3 137.3 83% 71–68 ✗
North Dakota @ Hawai'i +12.2 140.3 87% 55–92 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Indiana +23.5 146.4 91% 56–100 ✓
SE Louisiana @ Navy +4.9 131.2 61% 69–65 ✗
Alcorn State @ Louisiana Tech +8.2 132.7 77% 58–83 ✓
Manhattan @ Army +2.7 150.6 62% 78–81 ✓
VMI @ UCF +23.8 151.5 90% 57–82 ✓
Boston University @ Northern Kentucky +7.4 143.9 75% 65–74 ✓
Maine @ Longwood +2.1 134.9 73% 61–65 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Niagara +3.9 138.5 70% 70–66 ✗
Dartmouth @ Saint Peter's +8.2 146.3 74% 87–61 ✗
Lehigh @ Texas State +2.7 130.1 58% 78–74 ✗
Houston Christian @ Georgia Southern +1.9 136.6 60% 62–80 ✓
South Carolina Upstate @ Nebraska +21.4 156.0 89% 63–72 ✓
Southern @ Northwestern State +4.3 159.5 71% 75–73 ✗
Merrimack @ Hofstra +5.5 138.8 78% 58–78 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Georgia +25.5 157.3 91% 81–123 ✓
Western Carolina @ High Point +22.2 152.7 91% 73–93 ✓
James Madison @ George Mason +13.4 141.5 87% 66–82 ✓
Delaware State @ UMBC +11.1 128.5 86% 57–71 ✓
Monmouth @ Le Moyne -2.2 142.7 44% 79–83 ✗
Southern Utah @ Stetson +4.2 146.3 73% 70–68 ✗
Morehead State @ IU Indianapolis +4.9 154.8 72% 80–85 ✓
Bryant @ Harvard +8.2 133.6 82% 53–56 ✓
Lipscomb @ Southeast Missouri State +0.9 146.5 48% 88–77 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ UT Arlington -0.3 133.6 52% 61–66 ✗
Gardner-Webb @ UNC Wilmington +24.2 143.1 91% 62–88 ✓
Western Michigan @ Valparaiso +3.5 138.1 60% 55–84 ✓
Norfolk State @ Arizona +19.3 137.0 89% 61–98 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Drake +0.8 138.5 58% 74–84 ✓
South Carolina State @ Winthrop +21.2 149.8 90% 79–101 ✓
Kansas City @ Weber State +11.0 151.8 83% 61–82 ✓
Montana State @ Utah State +17.6 141.2 89% 81–84 ✓
Central Arkansas @ East Tennessee State +15.5 141.0 87% 57–80 ✓
Mercer @ Elon +6.6 162.3 77% 91–84 ✗
Siena @ American University +1.1 138.9 52% 59–55 ✗
Howard @ Mount St. Mary's -0.5 138.6 37% 75–79 ✗
Air Force @ South Dakota +0.1 141.4 53% 63–80 ✓
Seattle U @ UC Santa Barbara -3.1 140.8 42% 71–74 ✗
Ball State @ Lafayette +0.6 136.2 44% 37–55 ✓
La Salle @ Pennsylvania +4.8 141.6 69% 71–73 ✓
Wofford @ Eastern Kentucky +0.6 148.0 54% 83–77 ✗
UC Riverside @ Utah Tech -0.1 142.8 52% 69–77 ✗
Pepperdine @ Cal State Fullerton +1.6 153.9 60% 69–83 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Penn State +18.0 150.9 89% 59–90 ✓
Buffalo @ Canisius -7.4 134.1 24% 71–53 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.