Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -34.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +42 | 204 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -27.6 (+14.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.4 (+40.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -25.5 (+16.5) | 157.3 (+46.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -22.8 (+19.2) | 152.4 (+51.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -24.3 (+17.7) | 154.0 (+50.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -25.5 (+16.5) | 155.7 (+48.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | UGA 83 – 78 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-4 | 8-6 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 89.4 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | 16.5 (#16) | -5.4 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#71) | -0.77 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#86) | -1.37 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#63) | 0.414 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 26.5% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 44.0 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 15.1 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 14.2% | 22.1% |
| ORB% | 39.1% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.5% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.0% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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