Western Kentucky
Hilltoppers
75
–
70
FINAL
Neutral
Marriott Bonvoy Battle 4 Atlantis
Wichita State
Shockers
Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -4.5 Home covered |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WKU +5 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -3.2 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 62% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -1.8 (+6.8) | 146.1 (-1.1) | 47% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WICH -2.1 (+7.1) | 145.4 (-0.4) | 41% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | WICH -1.7 (+6.7) | 147.1 (-2.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -1.6 (+6.6) | 146.9 (-1.9) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 5, 2024 | WICH 91 – 84 WKU |
| Nov 10, 2023 | WICH 71 – 61 WKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WKU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.9 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 5.7 (#95) | 8.9 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#165) | -0.21 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#168) | 0.31 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#200) | 0.474 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WKU | WICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 41.2 | 40.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 40.5% |
| FT Rate | 34.3% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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