Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -27.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -10000 AAMU +3000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +36 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -26.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -24.3 (+11.7) | 139.0 (+9.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -20.5 (+15.5) | 140.7 (+7.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -20.8 (+15.2) | 140.7 (+7.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -22.6 (+13.4) | 141.7 (+6.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 13-3 | 12-5 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 11.8 (#44) | -9.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.17 (#43) | 1.44 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#63) | 2.38 (#73) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#77) | 0.613 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 39.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 42.0 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.1 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.85 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 36.2% | 24.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 24.0% |
Game Analysis
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