Betting Lines
| Spread | GMU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | GMU -900 JMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +16 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | GMU -16.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GMU -13.4 (+2.6) | 141.5 (+6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GMU -15.0 (+1.0) | 142.7 (+5.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GMU -14.9 (+1.1) | 144.2 (+3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GMU -16.1 (-0.1) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | GMU 66 – 61 JMU |
| Nov 20, 2021 | JMU 67 – 64 GMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GMU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 17-3 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 74.4 |
| Massey | 9.6 (#62) | -1.0 (#182) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.07 (#18) | 0.28 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.51 (#24) | 0.37 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.609 (#44) | 0.485 (#195) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GMU | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 41.1% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 36.5% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 34.7% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 65.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 32.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.