Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | STET +105 SUU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STET win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +2 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | STET -4.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-10.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STET -4.2 (-6.2) | 146.3 (-8.3) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STET -6.0 (-8.0) | 142.8 (-4.8) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STET -4.5 (-6.5) | 145.3 (-7.3) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STET -4.3 (-6.3) | 144.2 (-6.2) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STET | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 2-14 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -11.5 (#333) | -16.0 (#357) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.52 (#299) | -3.53 (#353) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.24 (#298) | -5.50 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#319) | 0.309 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STET | SUU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 25.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 17.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 60.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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