Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +4 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | NIA -5.4 (-9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIA -3.9 (-7.9) | 138.5 (-2.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIA -4.7 (-8.7) | 142.1 (-6.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIA -5.0 (-9.0) | 143.1 (-7.1) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIA -3.9 (-7.9) | 141.6 (-5.6) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | DETM 84 – 78 NIA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIA | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 12-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.3 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#327) | -10.8 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.86 (#312) | -2.62 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.05 (#314) | -3.71 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#331) | 0.413 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIA | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 24.7% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 43.5% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.8% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 34.5% |
Game Analysis
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