Betting Lines
| Spread | SEMO -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | SEMO -155 LIP +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SEMO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +11 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | SEMO -2.1 (-13.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.0 (+11.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SEMO -0.9 (-11.9) | 146.5 (+18.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SEMO -2.7 (-13.7) | 145.6 (+19.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SEMO -2.3 (-13.3) | 146.1 (+18.9) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SEMO -1.6 (-12.6) | 148.7 (+16.3) | 59% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 5, 2024 | LIP 78 – 60 SEMO |
| Dec 10, 2020 | LIP 80 – 74 SEMO |
| Dec 8, 2020 | SEMO 82 – 77 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SEMO | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 77.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#191) | 1.9 (#141) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#202) | 0.48 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.14 (#191) | 1.23 (#117) |
| RPI | 0.515 (#158) | 0.537 (#116) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SEMO | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 33.5% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 17.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.0% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.1% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.