Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | LIP -330 SEMO +270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +6 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -6.7 (-0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -1.8 (+4.2) | 141.3 (+12.7) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -3.4 (+2.6) | 146.3 (+7.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -3.5 (+2.5) | 147.7 (+6.3) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -2.4 (+3.6) | 147.0 (+7.0) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | LIP 88 – 77 SEMO |
| Dec 5, 2024 | LIP 78 – 60 SEMO |
| Dec 8, 2020 | SEMO 82 – 77 LIP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIP | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 11-16 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#218) | -4.1 (#216) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#211) | -0.31 (#173) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.42 (#214) | -0.54 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#180) | 0.350 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIP | SEMO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 5.0 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.41 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 15.7% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 84.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 32.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.