Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | UL -238 JKST +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +6 | 96 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -14.2 (-20.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-48.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -9.1 (-15.1) | 135.9 (-39.9) | 86% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UL -7.1 (-13.1) | 136.1 (-40.1) | 84% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | UL -9.7 (-15.7) | 138.7 (-42.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -10.0 (-16.0) | 138.5 (-42.5) | 82% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 27, 2021 | JKST 75 – 70 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 7-3 |
| Away | 3-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.7 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 83.8 |
| Massey | -11.6 (#334) | -20.2 (#364) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#323) | -2.34 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.51 (#324) | -3.38 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#287) | 0.434 (#277) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 35.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 28.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.1% | 42.9% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 16.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 61.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.6% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 57.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 42.4% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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