Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -14.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JKST +5 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -13.1 (-18.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UL -8.0 (-13.0) | 134.6 (+10.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | UL -8.0 (-13.0) | 135.0 (+10.0) | 69% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | UL -8.7 (-13.7) | 133.0 (+12.0) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UL -9.4 (-14.4) | 132.4 (+12.6) | 77% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | JKST 51 – 45 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 11-19 |
| Conference | 8-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 7-6 | 6-3 |
| Away | 6-8 | 5-15 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 60.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#170) | -6.4 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.55 (#66) | -1.10 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.53 (#62) | -1.10 (#233) |
| RPI | 0.633 (#32) | 0.460 (#223) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | JKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 30.3% | 36.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 43.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 16.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.46 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 35.9% | 41.8% |
| TOV% | 24.8% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.1% | 10.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 26.0% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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