Betting Lines
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PITT +210 OSU -258 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +1 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | OSU -4.9 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 26% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OSU -1.6 (+2.6) | 140.6 (-7.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OSU -2.5 (+3.5) | 139.8 (-6.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OSU -3.7 (+4.7) | 141.8 (-8.8) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OSU -2.3 (+3.3) | 140.8 (-7.8) | 47% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2024 | PITT 91 – 90 OSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-10 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 79.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.2 (#153) | 11.7 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#192) | 1.92 (#55) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#182) | 2.32 (#74) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#179) | 0.571 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | OSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 53.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.56 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.5% | 63.0% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 38.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 47.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 77.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 17.4% |
Game Analysis
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