Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -29.5 Home covered |
| Money | IU -20000 BCU +3500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +44 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | IU -23.6 (+20.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.7 (+6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -23.5 (+20.5) | 146.4 (+9.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -19.8 (+24.2) | 144.5 (+11.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -21.1 (+22.9) | 145.3 (+10.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -22.7 (+21.3) | 147.5 (+8.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 11, 2022 | IU 101 – 49 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 14-4 | 10-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 77.5 |
| Massey | 15.3 (#21) | -2.6 (#213) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.05 (#19) | -0.65 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.01 (#12) | -0.87 (#223) |
| RPI | 0.697 (#6) | 0.459 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.95 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.3% | 48.1% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 31.8% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.6% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 64.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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