Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -32.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | IU -8000 BCU +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +52 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | IU -27.0 (+25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.5 (+6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -26.0 (+26.0) | 142.5 (+7.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -20.0 (+32.0) | 145.8 (+4.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 29, 2025 | IU 100 – 56 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 76.6 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#31) | -5.3 (#239) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#96) | -0.36 (#163) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#41) | -0.56 (#235) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 61.0% | 34.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.60 | 0.69 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.4% | 38.6% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 21.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 23.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 10.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.4% | 59.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.8% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 79.4% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 7.4% | 14.9% |
Game Analysis
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