Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SCU -218 MINN +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +11 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | SCU -13.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.4 (+29.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -9.5 (+1.5) | 132.5 (+28.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -10.9 (+0.1) | 134.7 (+26.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -11.6 (-0.6) | 135.1 (+25.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -12.2 (-1.2) | 133.1 (+27.9) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-3 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 4-5 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 69.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.5 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 14.5 (#25) | 1.3 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.68 (#28) | -0.40 (#215) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.67 (#20) | -0.38 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.672 (#10) | 0.453 (#247) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.5 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 43.4% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.