Betting Lines
| Spread | USU -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | USU -2800 MTST +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +3 | 165 | Won |
| Massey | USU -17.6 (-14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -15.7 (-12.7) | 144.1 (+20.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | USU -17.6 (-14.6) | 141.2 (+23.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | USU -16.3 (-13.3) | 143.0 (+22.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -15.0 (-12.0) | 142.9 (+22.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-7 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 12-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 8-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 73.5 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#27) | 2.4 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.55 (#11) | -1.49 (#297) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.40 (#10) | -2.34 (#301) |
| RPI | 0.680 (#7) | 0.469 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USU | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 52.6% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 30.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.4% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 36.4% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 30.3% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.2% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 29.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.