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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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28–18 on winners spread MAE 9.7 46 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Kansas @ UCF +0.2 138.5 56% 60–65 ✓
Tennessee @ Mississippi State -0.8 137.8 49% 72–77 ✗
Clemson @ Virginia Tech -0.1 139.7 55% 72–87 ✗
Louisville @ Miami +19.6 157.4 89% 80–71 ✗
East Carolina @ Temple +2.9 139.2 66% 73–62 ✗
Tulsa @ Charlotte +8.5 133.2 81% 76–84 ✓
Winthrop @ Presbyterian -5.9 146.2 26% 81–71 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +6.8 154.4 78% 79–84 ✓
Charleston Southern @ Gardner-Webb +10.5 142.7 83% 86–74 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +12.3 131.1 83% 69–64 ✗
Navy @ Holy Cross -7.3 132.0 19% 80–70 ✓
American University @ Boston University +1.9 132.3 51% 68–72 ✓
La Salle @ Massachusetts +11.2 153.1 86% 65–81 ✓
Saint Joseph's @ Saint Louis -8.0 151.0 28% 85–88 ✗
Bucknell @ Lehigh +4.7 136.5 68% 86–80 ✗
Mercer @ Wofford +4.7 146.9 69% 73–74 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State -0.3 138.5 56% 80–66 ✓
The Citadel @ Furman +5.5 146.6 81% 68–82 ✓
Wright State @ Robert Morris +0.2 156.8 47% 101–76 ✗
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland +4.7 147.7 73% 65–70 ✓
Chicago State @ Fairleigh Dickinson +1.3 140.6 45% 75–74 ✗
Georgia Southern @ Marshall +11.8 149.4 86% 74–79 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Queens University +2.4 144.8 60% 75–78 ✓
Stetson @ Kennesaw State +2.8 155.9 61% 70–88 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Liberty +9.7 128.6 80% 61–51 ✗
Illinois State @ Belmont +8.7 147.3 80% 60–67 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Sam Houston +1.2 150.8 59% 74–78 ✓
North Carolina @ NC State -2.1 146.3 39% 67–54 ✓
UTSA @ Memphis +17.0 160.1 89% 101–107 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Valparaiso -11.3 131.9 16% 77–68 ✓
UIC @ Northern Iowa +5.7 139.1 79% 59–67 ✓
Murray State @ Missouri State +4.2 141.6 68% 77–53 ✗
Indiana State @ Drake +0.5 154.1 55% 78–89 ✓
Evansville @ Bradley +10.6 145.9 84% 50–86 ✓
UConn @ Xavier -0.5 142.8 40% 80–75 ✓
Wisconsin @ Ohio State +1.9 138.4 62% 71–60 ✗
Louisiana @ Troy +1.7 145.3 61% 73–79 ✓
Oklahoma @ TCU +3.9 145.6 74% 71–80 ✓
Butler @ Marquette +10.4 151.7 82% 69–62 ✗
Boston College @ Syracuse +2.1 149.4 66% 59–69 ✓
Arkansas @ Georgia +4.2 149.7 69% 66–76 ✓
Florida @ Ole Miss -1.2 156.1 53% 85–103 ✗
Washington State @ USC +3.3 144.9 67% 72–64 ✗
Colorado @ California -6.1 149.0 30% 78–82 ✗
New Hampshire @ Maine +1.0 140.9 44% 79–74 ✗
NJIT @ UMass Lowell +14.9 146.0 88% 62–70 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.